Randall J. Jones, Jr.

Biographic Sketch

Recent Research

"Forecasting Performance of Regression Models in the 2008 Presidential Election." 2009. With Alfred G. Cuzán. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. No. 12, Winter. p. 43.


"Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote." 2009. With Andreas Graefe, J. Scott Armstrong, and Alfred G. Cuzán. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. No. 12, Winter. pp. 41-42.


"Political Forecasting." forthcoming 2009. In G. T. Kurian (ed.). International Encyclopedia of Political Science. CQ Press.


"Regression Model Forecasts of the U. S. Presidential Election." 2008. With Alfred G. Cuzán. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. No. 11, Fall. pp. 41-42.


"Forecasting U. S. Presidential Elections: A Brief Review." 2008. With Alfred G. Cuzán. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. No. 10, Summer. pp. 29-34.


"The State of Presidential Election Forecasting: The 2004 Experience." 2008. International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 24, April-June. pp. 308-319. (This article is a revision of papers presented at the International Symposiums on Forecasting, 2007 [New York] and 2005 [San Antonio].)


"Predicting Elections from Politicians' Faces." 2008. With J. Scott Armstrong, Kesten C. Green, and Malcolm Wright. Paper presented [by Armstrong and Green] at the 28th International Symposium on Forecasting. Nice, France. June 23.


This project is described in Constance Holden, "Presidential Face-Off," Science, 2 November 2007, p. 723.


"Forecasting Elections Using Expert Surveys: An Application to U. S. Presidential Elections." 2007. With J. Scott Armstrong and Alfred G. Cuzán. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, August 30 - September 2. (2 October 2007 version).


"A Retrospective on Forecasting Midterm Elections to the U. S. House of Representatives." 2006. With Alfred G. Cuzán. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. No. 5, Fall. pp. 37-42.


"Combining Methods to Forecast Presidential Elections: An Application to 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2004." 2006. With Alfred G. Cuzán and J. Scott Armstrong. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association. Atlanta. January 5.


"How We Computed the Pollyvote." 2005. With Alfred G. Cuzán and J. Scott Armstrong. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. No. 1, June. pp. 51-52.


"Combining Methods to Forecast the 2004 Presidential Election: The Pollyvote." 2005. With Alfred Cuzán and J. Scott Armstrong. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association. New Orleans. January 6.

Courses Offered 2008 - 2009 Academic Year